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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Colgate University1.69+5.03vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.74+3.87vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College0.70+6.06vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.42+0.21vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62-1.33vs Predicted
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6Drexel University1.06+2.15vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.06+1.05vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology0.61+1.23vs Predicted
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9William and Mary0.87-0.22vs Predicted
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10Washington College1.52-3.42vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.28-0.56vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook2.59-8.12vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.81+0.33vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.71-0.87vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.14-1.94vs Predicted
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17Penn State University-2.19-1.15vs Predicted
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18Columbia University-0.51-5.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03Colgate University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.87Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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9.06Ocean County College0.700.0%1st Place
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4.21U. S. Naval Academy2.420.2%1st Place
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3.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.2%1st Place
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8.15Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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8.05University of Pennsylvania1.060.0%1st Place
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9.23Stevens Institute of Technology0.610.0%1st Place
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8.78William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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6.58Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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10.44Christopher Newport University0.280.0%1st Place
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3.88SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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13.33Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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13.13SUNY Stony Brook-0.710.0%1st Place
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14.06Rutgers University-1.140.0%1st Place
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15.85Penn State University-2.190.0%1st Place
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12.66Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Bicks | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted Wingender | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| James Morgan | 16.1% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Galster | 20.5% | 19.4% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Egan | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Slook | 3.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Shelby Locke | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 19.5% | 17.1% | 16.1% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Brainard | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 16.3% | 19.6% | 19.4% | 8.4% |
| Francis George | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 19.1% | 18.5% | 7.1% |
| Max Reo | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 16.9% | 26.4% | 16.1% |
| Charles Jr. Blair | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 15.3% | 60.8% |
| Haley Collins | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.