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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+2.93vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook2.59+1.99vs Predicted
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3Washington College1.52+3.99vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.06+4.37vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.42-0.70vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.74+0.40vs Predicted
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7Colgate University1.69-0.52vs Predicted
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8Drexel University1.06+0.27vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology0.61+0.94vs Predicted
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10Ocean County College0.70-0.61vs Predicted
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11William and Mary0.87-1.96vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.82-5.92vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.71+0.27vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.81-0.39vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-2.19-0.20vs Predicted
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17Rutgers University-1.14-2.73vs Predicted
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18Columbia University-0.51-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.2%1st Place
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3.99SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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6.99Washington College1.520.1%1st Place
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8.37University of Pennsylvania1.060.0%1st Place
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4.3U. S. Naval Academy2.420.2%1st Place
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6.4Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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6.48Colgate University1.690.1%1st Place
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8.27Drexel University1.060.1%1st Place
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9.94Stevens Institute of Technology0.610.0%1st Place
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9.39Ocean County College0.700.0%1st Place
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9.04William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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6.08Christopher Newport University1.820.1%1st Place
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13.27SUNY Stony Brook-0.710.0%1st Place
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13.61Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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15.8Penn State University-2.190.0%1st Place
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14.27Rutgers University-1.140.0%1st Place
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12.87Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Galster | 18.6% | 18.2% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 17.3% | 17.9% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Egan | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| James Morgan | 15.9% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bicks | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 5.3% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Slook | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Ted Wingender | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Anders Hudson | 7.9% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis George | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 16.4% | 21.2% | 16.9% | 8.5% |
| Bennett Brainard | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 15.4% | 18.5% | 22.2% | 10.0% |
| Charles Jr. Blair | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 9.2% | 16.0% | 59.5% |
| Max Reo | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 13.3% | 20.3% | 25.8% | 15.1% |
| Haley Collins | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.