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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+2.75vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.74+4.26vs Predicted
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3Colgate University1.69+3.47vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.42+0.51vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.06+3.31vs Predicted
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6Drexel University1.06+2.57vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook2.59-3.04vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.87+0.84vs Predicted
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9Washington College1.52-1.89vs Predicted
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10Stevens Institute of Technology0.61-0.29vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.81+2.52vs Predicted
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12Ocean County College0.70-2.51vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.82-6.85vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.71-0.63vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-1.14-0.84vs Predicted
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17Penn State University-2.19-1.08vs Predicted
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18Columbia University-0.51-5.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.2%1st Place
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6.26Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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6.47Colgate University1.690.1%1st Place
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4.51U. S. Naval Academy2.420.2%1st Place
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8.31University of Pennsylvania1.060.0%1st Place
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8.57Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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3.96SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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8.84William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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7.11Washington College1.520.1%1st Place
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9.71Stevens Institute of Technology0.610.0%1st Place
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13.52Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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9.49Ocean County College0.700.0%1st Place
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6.15Christopher Newport University1.820.1%1st Place
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13.37SUNY Stony Brook-0.710.0%1st Place
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14.16Rutgers University-1.140.0%1st Place
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15.92Penn State University-2.190.0%1st Place
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12.9Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Galster | 21.0% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bicks | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Morgan | 15.5% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Egan | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 17.0% | 17.3% | 16.7% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 4.5% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Slook | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Bennett Brainard | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 20.3% | 22.1% | 8.8% |
| Ted Wingender | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis George | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 15.9% | 22.9% | 17.7% | 7.0% |
| Max Reo | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 28.2% | 15.4% |
| Charles Jr. Blair | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 61.5% |
| Haley Collins | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 16.3% | 18.0% | 13.4% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.