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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+2.78vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.74+4.02vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.42+1.31vs Predicted
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4Washington College1.52+2.82vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.06+6.26vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.82+0.01vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.06+1.19vs Predicted
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8Colgate University1.69-1.85vs Predicted
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9William and Mary0.87-0.17vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook2.59-6.14vs Predicted
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11Stevens Institute of Technology0.61-1.47vs Predicted
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12Ocean County College0.70-2.87vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.81+0.33vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.71-0.82vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.14-1.98vs Predicted
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17Penn State University-2.19-1.16vs Predicted
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18Columbia University-0.51-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.2%1st Place
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6.02Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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4.31U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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6.82Washington College1.520.1%1st Place
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11.26Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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6.01Christopher Newport University1.820.1%1st Place
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8.19University of Pennsylvania1.060.0%1st Place
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6.15Colgate University1.690.1%1st Place
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8.83William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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3.86SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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9.53Stevens Institute of Technology0.610.0%1st Place
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9.13Ocean County College0.700.0%1st Place
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13.33Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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13.18SUNY Stony Brook-0.710.0%1st Place
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14.02Rutgers University-1.140.0%1st Place
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15.84Penn State University-2.190.0%1st Place
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12.75Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Galster | 20.9% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Morgan | 15.0% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
| Anders Hudson | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Egan | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bicks | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 19.2% | 16.6% | 16.2% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Slook | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Ted Wingender | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Bennett Brainard | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 19.6% | 18.8% | 8.4% |
| Francis George | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 16.0% | 18.9% | 17.4% | 7.0% |
| Max Reo | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 12.4% | 17.3% | 25.5% | 15.8% |
| Charles Jr. Blair | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 15.8% | 59.8% |
| Haley Collins | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.