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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.74+4.94vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.42+2.25vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+0.80vs Predicted
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4Washington College1.52+2.78vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.82+0.75vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook2.59-1.97vs Predicted
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7Colgate University1.69-0.73vs Predicted
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8Ocean County College0.70+1.04vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology0.61+0.62vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-0.06+1.39vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.06-2.74vs Predicted
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12William and Mary0.87-3.27vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.71+0.08vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.81-0.60vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.14-1.97vs Predicted
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17Columbia University-0.51-4.27vs Predicted
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18Penn State University-2.19-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.94Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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4.25U. S. Naval Academy2.420.2%1st Place
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3.8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.2%1st Place
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6.78Washington College1.520.1%1st Place
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5.75Christopher Newport University1.820.1%1st Place
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4.03SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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6.27Colgate University1.690.1%1st Place
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9.04Ocean County College0.700.0%1st Place
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9.62Stevens Institute of Technology0.610.0%1st Place
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11.39Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.26University of Pennsylvania1.060.0%1st Place
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8.73William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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13.08SUNY Stony Brook-0.710.0%1st Place
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13.4Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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14.03Rutgers University-1.140.0%1st Place
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12.73Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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15.89Penn State University-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Stapp | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Morgan | 16.4% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Galster | 17.8% | 18.6% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 17.3% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bicks | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ted Wingender | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Slook | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Joseph Egan | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Francis George | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 18.8% | 15.5% | 8.2% |
| Bennett Brainard | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 17.9% | 20.7% | 8.8% |
| Max Reo | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 16.9% | 26.0% | 15.9% |
| Haley Collins | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 14.0% | 17.6% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 5.4% |
| Charles Jr. Blair | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 16.4% | 59.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.