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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.42+3.33vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.74+4.28vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.82+3.07vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+0.02vs Predicted
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5Colgate University1.69+1.34vs Predicted
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6Drexel University1.06+2.55vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology0.61+2.79vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook2.59-3.99vs Predicted
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9Washington College1.52-1.91vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.81+3.62vs Predicted
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11Ocean County College0.70-1.47vs Predicted
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12William and Mary0.87-3.08vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.71-0.62vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-0.87-1.20vs Predicted
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16Columbia University-0.51-3.19vs Predicted
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17Penn State University-2.19-1.03vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania1.06-9.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33U. S. Naval Academy2.420.2%1st Place
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6.28Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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6.07Christopher Newport University1.820.1%1st Place
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4.02St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.2%1st Place
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6.34Colgate University1.690.1%1st Place
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8.55Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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9.79Stevens Institute of Technology0.610.0%1st Place
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4.01SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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7.09Washington College1.520.1%1st Place
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13.62Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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9.53Ocean County College0.700.0%1st Place
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8.92William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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13.38SUNY Stony Brook-0.710.0%1st Place
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13.8Rutgers University-0.870.0%1st Place
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12.81Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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15.97Penn State University-2.190.0%1st Place
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8.48University of Pennsylvania1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Morgan | 16.2% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 7.8% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Galster | 17.4% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bicks | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Slook | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 19.3% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Brainard | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 19.7% | 20.2% | 9.7% |
| Ted Wingender | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Francis George | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 20.8% | 19.8% | 8.4% |
| Audrey Meehan | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 18.5% | 25.1% | 11.8% |
| Haley Collins | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 16.9% | 17.7% | 14.6% | 6.2% |
| Charles Jr. Blair | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 15.7% | 63.4% |
| Joseph Egan | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.