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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.74+4.82vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+1.74vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.87+5.44vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.82+1.85vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College0.70+3.87vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.42-1.72vs Predicted
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7Colgate University1.69-0.83vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook2.59-4.24vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-1.37+4.60vs Predicted
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10Washington College1.52-3.34vs Predicted
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11Columbia University-0.51+0.88vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.06-4.17vs Predicted
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13Stevens Institute of Technology0.61-3.95vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-0.87-1.36vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook-0.71-3.55vs Predicted
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17Penn State University-2.19-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.82Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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3.74St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.2%1st Place
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8.44William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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5.85Christopher Newport University1.820.1%1st Place
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8.87Ocean County College0.700.0%1st Place
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4.28U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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6.17Colgate University1.690.1%1st Place
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3.76SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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13.6Princeton University-1.370.0%1st Place
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6.66Washington College1.520.1%1st Place
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11.88Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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7.83University of Pennsylvania1.060.0%1st Place
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9.05Stevens Institute of Technology0.610.0%1st Place
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12.64Rutgers University-0.870.0%1st Place
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12.45SUNY Stony Brook-0.710.0%1st Place
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14.95Penn State University-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Stapp | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Galster | 20.6% | 17.9% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted Wingender | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| James Morgan | 14.7% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bicks | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 19.9% | 17.7% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Pease | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 12.0% | 17.6% | 28.7% | 20.6% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Collins | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 12.4% | 20.5% | 17.2% | 14.0% | 4.2% |
| Joseph Egan | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Slook | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Meehan | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 21.3% | 19.2% | 8.2% |
| Francis George | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 13.5% | 17.3% | 20.8% | 17.1% | 6.8% |
| Charles Jr. Blair | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 16.3% | 59.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.