Race 14B

maisa-central-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Max Lopez 33.3% 23.5% 17.5% 12.0% 6.8% 4.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Liberty 15.6% 16.7% 14.1% 15.6% 13.0% 9.5% 6.3% 4.9% 2.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mildred Conroy 5.0% 6.3% 9.4% 8.1% 10.3% 11.4% 10.7% 10.7% 11.7% 7.5% 4.3% 2.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Stessing 12.9% 12.4% 13.8% 13.2% 11.7% 10.9% 10.0% 5.1% 5.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Russom 8.6% 11.1% 12.9% 10.2% 12.4% 12.9% 8.3% 7.9% 6.7% 4.0% 2.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Schippe 3.0% 3.3% 4.0% 5.3% 5.8% 8.6% 9.7% 10.6% 11.3% 10.9% 8.9% 9.8% 5.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Gene Merewether 2.9% 3.2% 4.0% 4.0% 5.5% 6.3% 7.4% 9.1% 11.6% 10.7% 13.2% 9.5% 5.6% 3.4% 2.5% 0.8% 0.3%
Matthew Szekalski 4.1% 3.7% 4.7% 6.4% 5.1% 7.5% 9.8% 9.7% 9.0% 10.9% 10.5% 6.9% 6.1% 3.7% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Paul Stevens 3.3% 5.4% 4.3% 6.8% 9.9% 7.5% 9.2% 13.4% 11.1% 9.4% 8.3% 5.7% 3.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Jarrett Scherrer 0.7% 0.7% 0.9% 1.6% 1.1% 1.0% 2.7% 3.9% 3.5% 7.2% 8.6% 11.0% 13.9% 12.2% 13.0% 11.5% 6.5%
Dylan Richardson 0.7% 1.0% 0.8% 1.0% 2.2% 1.7% 2.0% 3.1% 3.0% 4.3% 6.9% 8.5% 11.8% 11.3% 16.1% 14.0% 11.6%
Joseph Turchiano 7.4% 9.0% 9.8% 10.6% 11.1% 9.7% 11.4% 9.3% 7.1% 7.9% 3.9% 1.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Trevor Nederlof 0.8% 1.5% 1.1% 1.6% 1.3% 2.5% 2.9% 1.7% 4.1% 4.7% 8.5% 10.4% 12.4% 14.4% 12.3% 11.2% 8.6%
Maggie Gore 0.9% 0.6% 1.1% 2.0% 1.5% 3.4% 2.6% 4.0% 4.6% 6.7% 7.5% 11.5% 11.8% 13.6% 12.8% 9.4% 6.0%
Andrew Swanson 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 2.2% 2.2% 3.1% 3.7% 5.2% 6.1% 8.9% 13.8% 13.1% 15.5% 21.6%
Adrian Sawyer 0.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 1.1% 1.7% 1.6% 2.6% 5.0% 6.1% 7.5% 8.8% 13.1% 15.2% 17.6% 17.0%
Michael Kahn 0.1% 0.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.6% 1.0% 1.2% 1.9% 2.8% 2.8% 4.0% 6.7% 9.0% 9.5% 12.3% 18.9% 28.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.