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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Arizona State University0.99+4.46vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+4.95vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University1.47+1.35vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+2.45vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.42+2.42vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.18+2.08vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands0.82-1.20vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.52+3.13vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.96+3.60vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.63-4.16vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-0.36+2.02vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-1.01+1.44vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.19-4.05vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.88-1.09vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.98+1.52vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.09-2.86vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-1.43-2.65vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-1.73-2.00vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.54-3.82vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-2.21-2.78vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-1.92-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46Arizona State University0.9910.8%1st Place
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6.95University of California at Santa Cruz0.827.9%1st Place
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4.35San Diego State University1.4717.6%1st Place
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6.45University of California at Santa Cruz0.918.5%1st Place
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7.42University of California at San Diego0.427.8%1st Place
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8.08University of Washington0.186.2%1st Place
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5.8California State University Channel Islands0.8210.2%1st Place
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11.13Arizona State University-0.523.0%1st Place
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12.6University of California at Los Angeles-0.961.9%1st Place
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5.84University of California at Santa Cruz0.6310.1%1st Place
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13.02University of California at Irvine-0.361.4%1st Place
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13.44San Diego State University-1.011.3%1st Place
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8.95University of California at Davis-0.195.2%1st Place
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12.91University of California at Irvine-0.881.9%1st Place
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16.52California State University Channel Islands-1.980.8%1st Place
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13.14Arizona State University-1.091.6%1st Place
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14.35San Diego State University-1.430.9%1st Place
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16.0University of California at Los Angeles-1.730.7%1st Place
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15.18University of California at San Diego-1.541.2%1st Place
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17.22University of California at San Diego-2.210.4%1st Place
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16.18University of California at San Diego-1.920.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Casal | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 17.6% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jaden Unruh | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sterling Maggard | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Down | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Isaac Sharp | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| julian stauffer | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 19.1% |
| Camden Wacha | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Owen LaGuardia | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.3% |
| Andrew Bistras | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 13.7% |
| Jacob Horn | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.1% |
| Sophia Pless | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 27.3% |
| Diana Vins | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.