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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.82+4.62vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+1.75vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.42+1.20vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.74+2.11vs Predicted
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5Washington College1.52+1.61vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.06+1.97vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College0.70+1.88vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook2.59-4.21vs Predicted
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9William and Mary0.87-0.65vs Predicted
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10Colgate University1.69-3.85vs Predicted
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11Rutgers University-0.87+1.61vs Predicted
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12Columbia University-0.51-0.03vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-1.37-0.36vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology0.61-6.00vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook-0.71-3.58vs Predicted
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17Penn State University-2.19-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.62Christopher Newport University1.820.1%1st Place
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3.75St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.2%1st Place
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4.2U. S. Naval Academy2.420.2%1st Place
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6.11Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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6.61Washington College1.520.1%1st Place
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7.97University of Pennsylvania1.060.0%1st Place
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8.88Ocean County College0.700.0%1st Place
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3.79SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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8.35William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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6.15Colgate University1.690.1%1st Place
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12.61Rutgers University-0.870.0%1st Place
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11.97Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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13.64Princeton University-1.370.0%1st Place
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9.0Stevens Institute of Technology0.610.0%1st Place
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12.42SUNY Stony Brook-0.710.0%1st Place
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14.93Penn State University-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anders Hudson | 8.3% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Galster | 19.7% | 19.4% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Morgan | 16.2% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Egan | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ted Wingender | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 19.5% | 17.2% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bicks | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Meehan | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 15.8% | 20.9% | 20.6% | 9.0% |
| Haley Collins | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 17.7% | 17.6% | 13.0% | 5.7% |
| Henry Pease | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 19.0% | 28.3% | 19.7% |
| Thomas Slook | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Francis George | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 21.7% | 16.4% | 6.2% |
| Charles Jr. Blair | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 17.9% | 58.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.