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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.73+3.41vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+1.56vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.28+0.51vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.39-0.81vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.08-1.29vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-1.88vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University0.12-0.07vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-0.11vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-0.49-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.41Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
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3.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.2%1st Place
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3.51Brown University2.280.2%1st Place
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3.19Northeastern University2.390.2%1st Place
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3.71Salve Regina University2.080.2%1st Place
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4.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.1%1st Place
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6.93Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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7.89University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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7.68Fairfield University-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Quirke | 11.6% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 18.6% | 18.7% | 12.0% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Dylan Finneran | 15.1% | 19.3% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 18.2% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| John Wehner | 22.0% | 18.9% | 18.8% | 15.5% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 15.9% | 17.9% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 12.5% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 17.1% | 17.1% | 9.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Brian Reilly | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 9.6% | 30.4% | 29.7% | 14.9% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 13.9% | 26.9% | 47.2% |
| Connor Wallace | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 16.6% | 32.8% | 36.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.