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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+2.42vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.08+1.94vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.28+0.47vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University-0.49+3.63vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+2.84vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.39-2.82vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-2.87vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.73-3.57vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University0.12-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.2%1st Place
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3.94Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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3.47Brown University2.280.2%1st Place
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7.63Fairfield University-0.490.0%1st Place
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7.84University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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3.18Northeastern University2.390.2%1st Place
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4.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.1%1st Place
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4.43Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
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6.95Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Finneran | 19.0% | 17.5% | 18.1% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 12.8% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 19.5% | 16.4% | 17.7% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 10.7% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Connor Wallace | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 15.7% | 34.6% | 34.5% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 15.1% | 24.7% | 46.4% |
| John Wehner | 20.8% | 21.6% | 16.8% | 16.5% | 12.9% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 11.9% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 19.1% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 11.6% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 14.7% | 18.4% | 13.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Brian Reilly | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 29.6% | 28.7% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.