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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+2.39vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.39+1.45vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.28+0.48vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.08-0.28vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.73-0.68vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-0.49+1.65vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-3.85vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-1.06vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University0.12-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.2%1st Place
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3.45Northeastern University2.390.2%1st Place
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3.48Brown University2.280.2%1st Place
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3.72Salve Regina University2.080.2%1st Place
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4.32Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
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7.65Fairfield University-0.490.0%1st Place
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4.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.1%1st Place
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7.94University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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6.91Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Finneran | 19.5% | 19.2% | 15.7% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| John Wehner | 16.6% | 20.5% | 17.2% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 19.2% | 17.3% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 4.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 17.0% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 11.2% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 17.6% | 11.9% | 4.5% | 0.2% |
| Connor Wallace | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 17.2% | 34.2% | 34.3% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 11.9% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 17.3% | 8.4% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 12.1% | 27.1% | 48.9% |
| Brian Reilly | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 8.5% | 31.6% | 27.2% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.