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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.73+3.41vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+1.56vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.39+0.32vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+3.87vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.08-1.31vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.28-2.56vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-2.88vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-0.49-0.32vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University0.12-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.41Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
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3.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.2%1st Place
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3.32Northeastern University2.390.2%1st Place
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7.87University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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3.69Salve Regina University2.080.2%1st Place
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3.44Brown University2.280.2%1st Place
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4.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.1%1st Place
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7.68Fairfield University-0.490.0%1st Place
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6.91Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Quirke | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 16.7% | 18.2% | 11.7% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| Dylan Finneran | 15.8% | 18.5% | 16.7% | 18.3% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 5.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| John Wehner | 20.3% | 18.9% | 17.4% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 13.6% | 29.4% | 44.7% |
| Shannon Killian | 16.6% | 18.0% | 16.0% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 18.7% | 16.9% | 18.7% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 12.7% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 18.2% | 8.6% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Wallace | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 15.8% | 31.6% | 38.0% |
| Brian Reilly | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 30.8% | 28.1% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.