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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.73+3.41vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+1.58vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.08+0.83vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.39-1.83vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.28-2.60vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University0.12-0.09vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-3.87vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-1.08vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-0.49-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.41Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
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3.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.1%1st Place
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3.83Salve Regina University2.080.2%1st Place
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3.17Northeastern University2.390.2%1st Place
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3.4Brown University2.280.2%1st Place
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6.91Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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4.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.1%1st Place
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7.92University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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7.66Fairfield University-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Quirke | 11.8% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 19.4% | 11.3% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Dylan Finneran | 14.8% | 19.4% | 16.3% | 17.5% | 14.7% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 15.3% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 16.8% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| John Wehner | 21.7% | 19.8% | 18.2% | 16.6% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 20.2% | 19.8% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian Reilly | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 30.6% | 28.1% | 15.5% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 11.6% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 16.7% | 9.2% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 12.3% | 29.0% | 47.1% |
| Connor Wallace | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 17.5% | 31.5% | 36.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.