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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.39+2.43vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.70+1.15vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.28+0.70vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.48vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.08-2.11vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+0.71vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-3.66vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-0.03-2.01vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-1.36-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43Northeastern University2.390.2%1st Place
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3.15Brown University2.700.2%1st Place
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3.7Brown University2.280.2%1st Place
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3.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.2%1st Place
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3.89Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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7.71University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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4.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.1%1st Place
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6.99Sacred Heart University-0.030.0%1st Place
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8.26Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wehner | 19.1% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Andersen | 20.8% | 21.2% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 16.1% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 16.8% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 4.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Finneran | 17.2% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 16.5% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 13.5% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 7.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 20.6% | 40.2% | 28.8% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 10.4% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 19.2% | 21.5% | 9.4% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| William Herlihy | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 38.3% | 29.8% | 11.2% |
| Kelsey Laforest | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 10.8% | 23.5% | 59.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.