← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.79+5.39vs Predicted
-
2Connecticut College3.71+4.74vs Predicted
-
3Boston College3.48+4.78vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College3.00+5.72vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+3.36vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.92+4.25vs Predicted
-
7Yale University3.50+0.69vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont2.86+2.10vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island2.90+1.39vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College3.23-1.41vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University2.71+0.03vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University3.67-4.96vs Predicted
-
13University of Pennsylvania2.79-2.20vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Naval Academy2.88-3.63vs Predicted
-
15University of South Florida3.29-6.48vs Predicted
-
16Tufts University2.72-5.07vs Predicted
-
17Cornell University3.35-8.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.39Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
-
6.74Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
-
7.78Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
-
9.72Eckerd College3.000.1%1st Place
-
8.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
-
10.25Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
-
7.69Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
-
10.1University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
-
10.39University of Rhode Island2.900.0%1st Place
-
8.59Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
11.03Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
-
7.04Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
-
10.8University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
-
10.37U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
-
8.52University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
-
10.93Tufts University2.720.0%1st Place
-
8.34Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Barry | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Briana Provancha | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% |
| Krysta Rohde | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% |
| Haley Powell | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 7.4% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.9% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% |
| Bethany Leonard | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 14.2% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.5% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% |
| Amanda Johnson | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 12.7% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.4% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% |
| Meghan Pesch | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 12.7% |
| Lauren Turner | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.