Race 1B

pc-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Ellis Tonissi 34.0% 26.2% 18.6% 11.2% 6.3% 3.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Alexander Paggi 10.9% 16.2% 17.8% 16.7% 15.8% 11.4% 7.4% 3.1% 0.7%
Sean Beaulieu 24.0% 23.0% 18.6% 16.2% 9.7% 5.2% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1%
George Luber 9.5% 10.9% 12.7% 15.7% 15.9% 14.1% 12.3% 6.8% 2.1%
David Tampellini 1.5% 2.0% 3.1% 5.2% 6.2% 9.2% 12.4% 18.2% 42.2%
Donal Ryan 8.9% 10.6% 14.1% 15.8% 16.7% 16.3% 10.1% 6.2% 1.3%
Eric Sowell 3.6% 3.6% 4.4% 5.0% 10.9% 12.1% 21.3% 23.0% 16.1%
Emma Davis 4.6% 4.6% 6.4% 9.6% 11.0% 15.7% 18.6% 18.3% 11.2%
Kelsey Martins 3.0% 2.9% 4.3% 4.6% 7.5% 12.8% 14.8% 23.8% 26.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.