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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.69+2.81vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.29+2.67vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.48+3.04vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.22+2.35vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.21-2.10vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-1.44vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University-0.43+0.48vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-1.22vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.59-6.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.690.1%1st Place
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4.67Northeastern University1.290.1%1st Place
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6.04Brown University0.480.0%1st Place
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6.35Fairfield University0.220.0%1st Place
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2.9Salve Regina University2.210.3%1st Place
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4.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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7.48Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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6.78University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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2.41Connecticut College2.590.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Paggi | 13.1% | 14.2% | 18.9% | 18.9% | 15.0% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Donal Ryan | 6.4% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Emma Davis | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 16.7% | 20.1% | 18.2% | 10.8% |
| Eric Sowell | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 17.3% | 22.6% | 15.4% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 26.4% | 23.9% | 17.2% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| George Luber | 7.8% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
| David Tampellini | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 20.9% | 44.4% |
| Kelsey Martins | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 16.9% | 23.2% | 24.5% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 35.7% | 24.3% | 17.6% | 13.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.