Race 3B

pc-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Ellis Tonissi 34.1% 25.7% 17.4% 12.8% 6.2% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Sean Beaulieu 21.8% 23.5% 18.3% 15.9% 10.1% 6.5% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3%
Alexander Paggi 14.4% 14.4% 18.9% 15.9% 15.3% 11.7% 6.7% 2.5% 0.2%
George Luber 8.5% 12.2% 13.0% 14.2% 16.4% 15.0% 11.6% 6.4% 2.7%
Kelsey Martins 2.3% 3.4% 5.2% 6.0% 10.6% 10.5% 16.8% 21.1% 24.1%
Eric Sowell 3.1% 4.2% 5.3% 6.7% 8.2% 13.9% 18.7% 22.9% 17.0%
Emma Davis 4.4% 4.3% 5.7% 9.0% 12.2% 15.4% 19.3% 18.4% 11.3%
David Tampellini 1.7% 1.8% 3.1% 4.1% 4.3% 7.5% 13.3% 21.4% 42.8%
Donal Ryan 9.7% 10.5% 13.1% 15.4% 16.7% 16.5% 10.4% 6.1% 1.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.