Race 4B

pc-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Ellis Tonissi 34.3% 25.2% 18.6% 11.6% 6.4% 2.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sean Beaulieu 21.2% 23.1% 19.6% 15.7% 9.5% 6.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.1%
Alexander Paggi 14.0% 15.6% 16.9% 17.1% 15.3% 11.4% 7.1% 1.9% 0.7%
George Luber 8.5% 12.0% 11.8% 16.8% 14.7% 16.1% 12.1% 6.0% 2.0%
Emma Davis 4.5% 4.7% 8.6% 9.5% 12.1% 15.1% 17.2% 16.1% 12.2%
Donal Ryan 9.3% 10.5% 13.5% 14.5% 19.6% 14.8% 11.2% 5.1% 1.5%
Eric Sowell 3.2% 4.0% 3.8% 5.9% 10.1% 14.4% 18.6% 24.3% 15.7%
Kelsey Martins 2.8% 2.8% 4.4% 5.1% 8.1% 11.3% 16.5% 25.2% 23.8%
David Tampellini 2.2% 2.1% 2.8% 3.8% 4.2% 7.9% 12.8% 20.2% 44.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.