Race 5B

pc-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Alexander Paggi 13.5% 16.2% 16.5% 18.1% 15.0% 11.4% 6.8% 2.0% 0.5%
George Luber 5.8% 9.0% 13.0% 17.3% 16.5% 16.0% 12.5% 6.9% 3.0%
Ellis Tonissi 34.1% 24.7% 19.2% 12.0% 6.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Donal Ryan 9.1% 11.8% 14.0% 16.4% 16.9% 15.0% 9.3% 5.6% 1.9%
Sean Beaulieu 25.4% 24.2% 18.5% 12.6% 9.4% 6.6% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
Kelsey Martins 2.6% 2.7% 5.0% 5.6% 8.3% 10.8% 18.6% 23.4% 23.0%
David Tampellini 1.5% 2.6% 2.5% 2.5% 5.0% 8.8% 11.7% 22.3% 43.1%
Eric Sowell 3.8% 3.9% 4.8% 6.7% 10.5% 12.9% 19.1% 21.0% 17.3%
Emma Davis 4.2% 4.9% 6.5% 8.8% 12.1% 15.8% 18.8% 17.9% 11.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.