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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.59+1.38vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.69+1.82vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.21-0.14vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.29+0.24vs Predicted
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5Sacred Heart University-0.43+2.01vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-1.52vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.22-1.80vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54-0.72vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.48-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Connecticut College2.590.3%1st Place
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3.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.690.1%1st Place
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2.86Salve Regina University2.210.2%1st Place
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4.24Northeastern University1.290.1%1st Place
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7.01Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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4.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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6.2Fairfield University0.220.0%1st Place
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8.28University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
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5.73Brown University0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellis Tonissi | 34.4% | 26.8% | 19.0% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Paggi | 11.3% | 16.4% | 18.2% | 18.6% | 15.4% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 25.0% | 22.0% | 21.5% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Donal Ryan | 10.0% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 17.4% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| David Tampellini | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 34.4% | 20.3% |
| George Luber | 8.8% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 17.2% | 18.3% | 15.9% | 12.0% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Eric Sowell | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 17.8% | 25.4% | 23.3% | 5.5% |
| Hanna Desilets | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 15.3% | 68.5% |
| Emma Davis | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 20.0% | 20.7% | 16.9% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.