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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.21+1.54vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.19+0.67vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97+1.45vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-0.09vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.29-1.21vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54+1.93vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.48-1.80vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University-0.86-2.87vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-1.06-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54Salve Regina University2.210.3%1st Place
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2.67Connecticut College2.190.3%1st Place
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4.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.1%1st Place
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3.91Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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3.79Northeastern University1.290.1%1st Place
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7.93University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
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5.2Brown University0.480.1%1st Place
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7.13Sacred Heart University-0.860.0%1st Place
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7.39Fairfield University-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Beaulieu | 31.2% | 24.6% | 19.2% | 14.4% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 28.5% | 23.6% | 20.6% | 13.6% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Orgill | 7.5% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 20.4% | 20.2% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| George Luber | 11.2% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 19.8% | 17.0% | 14.7% | 5.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Donal Ryan | 12.8% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 16.9% | 16.3% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Hanna Desilets | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 12.9% | 26.4% | 47.9% |
| Emma Davis | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 17.4% | 25.0% | 17.7% | 7.3% | 1.2% |
| Colby Jennings | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 25.1% | 29.5% | 21.8% |
| Katherine Fox | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 8.9% | 19.9% | 30.9% | 28.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.