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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.21+1.50vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97+2.58vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22+1.03vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.19-1.52vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.48+0.08vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54+0.90vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.29-4.11vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-0.86-1.85vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-1.06-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Salve Regina University2.210.3%1st Place
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4.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.1%1st Place
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4.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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2.48Connecticut College2.190.3%1st Place
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5.08Brown University0.480.1%1st Place
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7.9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
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3.89Northeastern University1.290.1%1st Place
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7.15Sacred Heart University-0.860.0%1st Place
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7.39Fairfield University-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Beaulieu | 30.8% | 26.5% | 19.2% | 13.1% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Orgill | 6.8% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 18.6% | 21.7% | 18.4% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| George Luber | 10.9% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 18.5% | 17.8% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Luke Andersen | 30.9% | 26.7% | 20.4% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emma Davis | 5.6% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 22.9% | 16.4% | 8.1% | 1.4% |
| Hanna Desilets | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 14.3% | 25.0% | 47.7% |
| Donal Ryan | 11.3% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 19.4% | 18.7% | 12.9% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Colby Jennings | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 9.7% | 25.3% | 29.3% | 21.7% |
| Katherine Fox | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 21.7% | 30.5% | 28.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.