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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.21+1.53vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.48+3.34vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22+1.04vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.19-1.48vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97-1.72vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.29-3.14vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54-0.03vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-0.86-1.90vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-1.06-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53Salve Regina University2.210.3%1st Place
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5.34Brown University0.480.0%1st Place
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4.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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2.52Connecticut College2.190.3%1st Place
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4.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.1%1st Place
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3.86Northeastern University1.290.1%1st Place
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7.97University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
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7.1Sacred Heart University-0.860.0%1st Place
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7.37Fairfield University-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Beaulieu | 30.6% | 27.1% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Davis | 3.9% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 24.4% | 19.9% | 7.0% | 1.9% |
| George Luber | 10.8% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 17.2% | 20.0% | 15.0% | 6.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Luke Andersen | 29.7% | 27.4% | 19.2% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Orgill | 8.9% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 16.9% | 17.6% | 9.0% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Donal Ryan | 12.1% | 12.8% | 17.7% | 19.6% | 17.9% | 13.8% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Hanna Desilets | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 13.7% | 23.0% | 51.3% |
| Colby Jennings | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 10.7% | 25.1% | 29.7% | 20.1% |
| Katherine Fox | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 20.1% | 33.9% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.