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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.67+5.78vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+6.71vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+5.44vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.48+3.84vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.92+4.86vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College3.00+3.99vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.79-0.47vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.50-0.46vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.71-2.00vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.86+0.14vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.29-2.25vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.72-1.19vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.71-1.94vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.90-3.67vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.79-4.45vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.88-5.72vs Predicted
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17Cornell University3.35-8.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.78Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.71Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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7.84Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.86Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.99Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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6.53Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.54Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.0Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.14University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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8.75University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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10.81Tufts University2.720.0%1st Place
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11.06Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.33University of Rhode Island2.900.0%1st Place
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10.55University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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10.28U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.38Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Lambert | 10.5% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
| Krysta Rohde | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% |
| Briana Provancha | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Haley Powell | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Claire Dennis | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% |
| Abby Featherstone | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
| Meghan Pesch | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 12.1% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 13.2% |
| Bethany Leonard | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% |
| Amanda Johnson | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 10.2% |
| Lauren Turner | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.