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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands0.82+4.82vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University1.47+2.33vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University0.99+2.46vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+2.44vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+2.02vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.42+1.56vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.52+3.89vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-1.09+5.21vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.19-0.31vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-0.36+3.16vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-0.88+1.96vs Predicted
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12University of Washington0.18-3.68vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-1.01+0.24vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-0.96-1.56vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz0.63-9.27vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.54-1.00vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-1.98-0.30vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-1.43-3.45vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.92-2.92vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-2.21-2.62vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-1.73-4.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.82California State University Channel Islands0.829.0%1st Place
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4.33San Diego State University1.4718.1%1st Place
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5.46Arizona State University0.9912.7%1st Place
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6.44University of California at Santa Cruz0.919.6%1st Place
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7.02University of California at Santa Cruz0.827.4%1st Place
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7.56University of California at San Diego0.425.9%1st Place
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10.89Arizona State University-0.522.9%1st Place
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13.21Arizona State University-1.091.3%1st Place
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8.69University of California at Davis-0.194.8%1st Place
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13.16University of California at Irvine-0.361.4%1st Place
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12.96University of California at Irvine-0.881.8%1st Place
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8.32University of Washington0.184.9%1st Place
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13.24San Diego State University-1.011.8%1st Place
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12.44University of California at Los Angeles-0.962.1%1st Place
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5.73University of California at Santa Cruz0.6311.4%1st Place
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15.0University of California at San Diego-1.540.9%1st Place
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16.7California State University Channel Islands-1.980.7%1st Place
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14.55San Diego State University-1.431.4%1st Place
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16.08University of California at San Diego-1.920.7%1st Place
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17.38University of California at San Diego-2.210.4%1st Place
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16.03University of California at Los Angeles-1.730.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sterling Maggard | 9.0% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 18.1% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Casal | 12.7% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Down | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Camden Wacha | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Jaden Unruh | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| julian stauffer | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Conrad Kistler | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Isaac Sharp | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Horn | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 6.8% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 18.6% |
| Owen LaGuardia | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 5.2% |
| Diana Vins | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 16.2% |
| Sophia Pless | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 15.9% | 29.1% |
| Andrew Bistras | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.