← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College2.19+1.57vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University2.21+0.62vs Predicted
-
3Brown University0.48+2.26vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97+0.31vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University1.29-1.22vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-2.04vs Predicted
-
7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54+1.00vs Predicted
-
9Sacred Heart University-0.86-1.88vs Predicted
-
10Fairfield University-1.06-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.57Connecticut College2.190.3%1st Place
-
2.62Salve Regina University2.210.3%1st Place
-
5.26Brown University0.480.1%1st Place
-
4.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.1%1st Place
-
3.78Northeastern University1.290.1%1st Place
-
3.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
-
8.0University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
-
7.12Sacred Heart University-0.860.0%1st Place
-
7.37Fairfield University-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Andersen | 30.8% | 24.1% | 19.5% | 13.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 28.4% | 25.1% | 19.4% | 15.3% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Davis | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 26.0% | 18.6% | 7.6% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Orgill | 8.8% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 20.2% | 17.2% | 9.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Donal Ryan | 12.0% | 17.6% | 18.3% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 11.8% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| George Luber | 11.2% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 18.3% | 20.8% | 14.1% | 5.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Hanna Desilets | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 13.6% | 23.0% | 51.6% |
| Colby Jennings | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 25.0% | 30.5% | 20.3% |
| Katherine Fox | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 8.8% | 19.8% | 33.8% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.