Race 3A

south-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Paul Perry 28.0% 24.8% 17.4% 15.0% 7.3% 5.4% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Jack Famiglietti 10.3% 13.0% 15.2% 17.8% 16.3% 13.9% 9.4% 3.9% 0.2%
Geoffrey Nelson 21.8% 21.1% 19.2% 14.7% 12.9% 7.1% 2.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Ian Ikeda 20.2% 18.2% 17.6% 16.0% 14.4% 8.0% 4.1% 1.5% 0.0%
Sophie Salomon 4.2% 5.6% 8.7% 10.3% 11.1% 16.8% 21.6% 19.6% 2.1%
Joseph Bello 5.8% 5.4% 9.3% 9.6% 13.9% 17.7% 24.0% 13.7% 0.6%
Matthew Peterson 7.1% 8.9% 9.8% 12.2% 16.6% 20.0% 17.1% 8.0% 0.3%
Nelson Millett 2.4% 2.9% 2.7% 4.3% 6.9% 10.4% 17.7% 49.6% 3.1%
Amanda Milford 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.6% 0.7% 1.5% 3.0% 93.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.