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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.74+2.13vs Predicted
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2University of Florida2.20+2.11vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.00-0.28vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.37+1.32vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.54-1.65vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.68-1.12vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.15-1.16vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.44-1.23vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida-2.61-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13Eckerd College2.740.2%1st Place
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4.11University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
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2.72University of South Florida3.000.3%1st Place
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5.32University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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3.35Jacksonville University2.540.2%1st Place
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4.88Eckerd College1.680.1%1st Place
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5.84Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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6.77Rollins College0.440.0%1st Place
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8.87University of South Florida-2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoffrey Nelson | 21.6% | 21.0% | 18.7% | 16.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 9.6% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 17.1% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 0.1% |
| Paul Perry | 29.7% | 21.0% | 19.7% | 14.6% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bello | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 17.4% | 20.9% | 14.4% | 0.4% |
| Ian Ikeda | 18.8% | 21.7% | 17.2% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Peterson | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 18.1% | 16.9% | 8.1% | 0.4% |
| Sophie Salomon | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 25.9% | 20.2% | 1.4% |
| Nelson Millett | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 18.5% | 47.7% | 3.7% |
| Amanda Milford | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 3.6% | 94.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.