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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.00+1.72vs Predicted
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2University of Florida2.20+2.24vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.15+2.99vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.74-0.92vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida-0.25+2.88vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.37-0.48vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.54-3.53vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.68-2.99vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.44-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72University of South Florida3.000.3%1st Place
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4.24University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
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5.99Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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3.08Eckerd College2.740.2%1st Place
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7.88University of South Florida-0.250.0%1st Place
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5.52University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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3.47Jacksonville University2.540.2%1st Place
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5.01Eckerd College1.680.1%1st Place
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7.1Rollins College0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Perry | 28.9% | 25.0% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 10.8% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Sophie Salomon | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 20.4% | 20.5% | 8.7% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 22.4% | 21.2% | 19.6% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Youngerman | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 18.8% | 55.0% |
| Joseph Bello | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 22.1% | 17.4% | 13.4% | 5.5% |
| Ian Ikeda | 16.0% | 20.6% | 17.5% | 17.3% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Peterson | 8.5% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 17.6% | 15.6% | 9.0% | 3.8% |
| Nelson Millett | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 15.7% | 31.4% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.