Race 6A

south-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Paul Perry 28.6% 23.1% 18.1% 13.4% 8.5% 5.8% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Geoffrey Nelson 18.6% 21.2% 17.3% 18.2% 11.5% 8.6% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3%
Sophie Salomon 4.1% 5.3% 5.6% 8.1% 11.8% 14.9% 21.9% 20.9% 7.4%
Ian Ikeda 19.4% 18.7% 18.4% 14.9% 13.6% 7.9% 5.7% 1.2% 0.2%
Joseph Bello 5.5% 7.7% 9.3% 11.2% 11.7% 16.7% 18.7% 13.0% 6.2%
Jack Famiglietti 12.7% 12.6% 17.0% 15.4% 17.3% 13.5% 8.1% 3.0% 0.4%
Matthew Peterson 7.3% 7.5% 10.3% 11.6% 16.3% 19.7% 14.6% 9.9% 2.8%
Lauren Youngerman 1.2% 1.2% 1.4% 3.1% 3.5% 3.4% 8.6% 19.3% 58.3%
Nelson Millett 2.6% 2.7% 2.6% 4.1% 5.8% 9.5% 17.1% 31.2% 24.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.