← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida2.54+2.05vs Predicted
-
2University of Florida2.38+1.45vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University1.87+1.17vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College2.34-0.75vs Predicted
-
6Jacksonville University1.28-0.90vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida-0.58+0.92vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College0.75-1.87vs Predicted
-
9Eckerd College1.77-4.67vs Predicted
-
10Rollins College-0.30-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.05University of South Florida2.540.2%1st Place
-
3.45University of Florida2.380.2%1st Place
-
4.17Jacksonville University1.870.1%1st Place
-
3.25Eckerd College2.340.2%1st Place
-
5.1Jacksonville University1.280.1%1st Place
-
7.92University of South Florida-0.580.0%1st Place
-
6.13Eckerd College0.750.0%1st Place
-
4.33Eckerd College1.770.1%1st Place
-
7.6Rollins College-0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Trebilcock | 24.0% | 21.0% | 18.8% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Armington | 16.1% | 22.0% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Peter Hidley | 12.5% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 18.8% | 15.4% | 10.3% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Normington | 21.0% | 18.1% | 19.9% | 16.5% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Allison Price | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 18.0% | 10.2% | 3.3% |
| Paul Grisko | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 9.3% | 28.1% | 49.2% |
| Walter Conlan, IV | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 17.3% | 26.2% | 18.7% | 8.0% |
| Hana Zwick | 13.0% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 16.0% | 15.1% | 16.0% | 11.5% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Bernardo Pineda | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 12.5% | 32.3% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.