Race 2B

south-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Peter Hidley 13.6% 13.5% 11.6% 15.3% 15.7% 16.1% 10.6% 3.1% 0.5%
Samuel Armington 16.8% 20.1% 16.5% 18.7% 11.5% 10.3% 4.0% 2.0% 0.1%
Michael Trebilcock 24.6% 20.8% 18.3% 13.0% 13.0% 7.2% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Samuel Normington 21.0% 19.0% 19.3% 15.3% 11.5% 9.0% 3.6% 1.2% 0.1%
Allison Price 6.6% 8.5% 11.3% 11.2% 14.0% 17.0% 18.1% 10.6% 2.7%
Walter Conlan, IV 4.3% 3.3% 6.3% 7.3% 10.6% 13.1% 27.0% 20.4% 7.7%
Hana Zwick 10.3% 11.9% 12.6% 15.1% 16.5% 17.7% 11.6% 3.7% 0.6%
Paul Grisko 1.2% 1.4% 1.5% 1.8% 3.0% 4.5% 9.3% 24.9% 52.4%
Bernardo Pineda 1.6% 1.5% 2.6% 2.3% 4.2% 5.1% 13.0% 33.8% 35.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.