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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Florida2.38+1.99vs Predicted
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2Rollins College-0.30+4.81vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.34+0.12vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College0.75+1.45vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.77-1.06vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.54-3.23vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.87-4.14vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida-0.58-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99University of Florida2.380.2%1st Place
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6.81Rollins College-0.300.0%1st Place
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3.12Eckerd College2.340.2%1st Place
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5.45Eckerd College0.750.0%1st Place
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3.94Eckerd College1.770.1%1st Place
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2.77University of South Florida2.540.3%1st Place
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3.86Jacksonville University1.870.1%1st Place
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7.07University of South Florida-0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Armington | 22.6% | 22.4% | 19.9% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 7.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Bernardo Pineda | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 10.7% | 34.2% | 40.5% |
| Samuel Normington | 20.0% | 20.6% | 19.0% | 18.5% | 13.8% | 6.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Walter Conlan, IV | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 30.8% | 23.6% | 6.8% |
| Hana Zwick | 10.9% | 13.3% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 21.9% | 16.1% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Michael Trebilcock | 27.0% | 22.9% | 18.3% | 16.4% | 10.3% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hidley | 12.9% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 18.0% | 18.6% | 14.9% | 5.3% | 0.8% |
| Paul Grisko | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 9.9% | 28.4% | 51.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.