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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.79+5.38vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.92+7.99vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.67+4.00vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.48+3.80vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.50+2.46vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.29+2.73vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.72+3.83vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.90+1.93vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.86+1.54vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.71+0.81vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-2.29vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.79-1.40vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.71-6.09vs Predicted
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14Cornell University3.35-5.56vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.23-6.25vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College3.00-6.20vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.88-6.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.99Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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7.0Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.8Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.46Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.73University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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10.83Tufts University2.720.0%1st Place
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9.93University of Rhode Island2.900.1%1st Place
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10.54University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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10.81Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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10.6University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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6.91Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.44Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.75Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.8Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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10.32U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Barry | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Haley Powell | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% |
| Emily Lambert | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% |
| Briana Provancha | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% |
| Meghan Pesch | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 11.3% |
| Bethany Leonard | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.3% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 12.4% |
| Krysta Rohde | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Amanda Johnson | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 12.7% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% |
| Lauren Turner | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.