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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+5.96vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.42+5.47vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University0.99+2.41vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+2.45vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands0.82+0.70vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-0.36+7.17vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University1.47-2.76vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.18+0.44vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.19-0.33vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-0.52+0.98vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-0.88+1.75vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.63-6.05vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-1.01+0.23vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.54+1.09vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.73+1.26vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.96-3.47vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-2.21+0.31vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands-1.98-1.39vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.09-5.81vs Predicted
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20San Diego State University-1.43-5.59vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-1.92-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.96University of California at Santa Cruz0.828.6%1st Place
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7.47University of California at San Diego0.426.8%1st Place
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5.41Arizona State University0.9911.9%1st Place
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6.45University of California at Santa Cruz0.918.9%1st Place
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5.7California State University Channel Islands0.8211.5%1st Place
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13.17University of California at Irvine-0.361.5%1st Place
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4.24San Diego State University1.4718.0%1st Place
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8.44University of Washington0.184.8%1st Place
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8.67University of California at Davis-0.195.0%1st Place
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10.98Arizona State University-0.522.8%1st Place
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12.75University of California at Irvine-0.881.1%1st Place
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5.95University of California at Santa Cruz0.638.8%1st Place
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13.23San Diego State University-1.011.8%1st Place
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15.09University of California at San Diego-1.541.4%1st Place
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16.26University of California at Los Angeles-1.730.7%1st Place
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12.53University of California at Los Angeles-0.961.8%1st Place
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17.31University of California at San Diego-2.210.4%1st Place
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16.61California State University Channel Islands-1.980.8%1st Place
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13.19Arizona State University-1.091.6%1st Place
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14.41San Diego State University-1.431.1%1st Place
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16.18University of California at San Diego-1.920.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Soliman | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Casal | 11.9% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Aston Smith | 18.0% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jaden Unruh | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Down | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Isaac Sharp | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| julian stauffer | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Jacob Horn | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% |
| Andrew Bistras | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 14.2% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Sophia Pless | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 28.0% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 18.8% |
| Camden Wacha | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Owen LaGuardia | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.0% |
| Diana Vins | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.