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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.54+1.73vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.87+1.86vs Predicted
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3University of Florida2.38+0.01vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.30+2.79vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.34-1.91vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College0.75-0.55vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.77-2.97vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida-0.58-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73University of South Florida2.540.3%1st Place
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3.86Jacksonville University1.870.1%1st Place
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3.01University of Florida2.380.2%1st Place
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6.79Rollins College-0.300.0%1st Place
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3.09Eckerd College2.340.2%1st Place
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5.45Eckerd College0.750.0%1st Place
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4.03Eckerd College1.770.1%1st Place
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7.05University of South Florida-0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Trebilcock | 28.4% | 22.8% | 18.6% | 14.7% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Peter Hidley | 12.7% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 20.4% | 13.4% | 5.8% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Armington | 20.7% | 23.1% | 19.1% | 17.6% | 12.3% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Bernardo Pineda | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 14.6% | 31.8% | 39.6% |
| Samuel Normington | 19.7% | 22.2% | 20.5% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Walter Conlan, IV | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 15.6% | 28.7% | 22.1% | 8.5% |
| Hana Zwick | 12.3% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 17.5% | 19.9% | 16.2% | 6.5% | 1.4% |
| Paul Grisko | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 30.3% | 49.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.