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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.34+2.03vs Predicted
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2University of Florida2.38+1.05vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.87+0.79vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.30+2.79vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College0.75+0.51vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.54-3.22vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.77-3.00vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida-0.58-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03Eckerd College2.340.2%1st Place
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3.05University of Florida2.380.2%1st Place
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3.79Jacksonville University1.870.1%1st Place
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6.79Rollins College-0.300.0%1st Place
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5.51Eckerd College0.750.0%1st Place
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2.78University of South Florida2.540.3%1st Place
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4.0Eckerd College1.770.1%1st Place
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7.04University of South Florida-0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Normington | 22.3% | 21.6% | 18.5% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Armington | 20.9% | 21.0% | 21.9% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hidley | 13.6% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 19.1% | 18.5% | 13.4% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Bernardo Pineda | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 13.8% | 31.7% | 39.9% |
| Walter Conlan, IV | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 30.9% | 23.2% | 8.1% |
| Michael Trebilcock | 25.1% | 24.9% | 18.1% | 16.4% | 10.6% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Hana Zwick | 12.4% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 18.5% | 20.1% | 15.4% | 6.4% | 1.2% |
| Paul Grisko | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 9.5% | 29.5% | 49.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.