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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.9%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+8.72vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands2.77+4.92vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego1.81+8.52vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+5.92vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.92+1.05vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University1.42+7.53vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.92-0.90vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.52+4.57vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+5.95vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria1.87+1.04vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy2.40-2.78vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay0.56+6.26vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California2.93-6.91vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.65-1.76vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands2.77-8.08vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18+3.81vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis0.83-0.22vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles0.44+0.55vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley1.06-3.64vs Predicted
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20Santa Clara University1.55-7.24vs Predicted
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21University of British Columbia0.22-1.70vs Predicted
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22University of Oregon0.76-4.83vs Predicted
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23California State University Monterey Bay0.14-3.05vs Predicted
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24University of California at Berkeley1.62-11.79vs Predicted
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25University of British Columbia0.28-5.88vs Predicted
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26University of Oregon0.46-7.41vs Predicted
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28University of California at Irvine1.35-13.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.72University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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6.92California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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11.52University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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9.92University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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6.05Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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13.53Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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6.1University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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12.57University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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14.95University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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11.04University of Victoria1.870.1%1st Place
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8.22California Poly Maritime Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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18.26California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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6.09University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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12.24University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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6.92California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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19.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.0%1st Place
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16.78University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
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18.55University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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15.36University of California at Berkeley1.060.0%1st Place
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12.76Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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19.3University of British Columbia0.220.0%1st Place
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17.17University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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19.95California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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12.21University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
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19.12University of British Columbia0.280.0%1st Place
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18.59University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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14.26University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Stokes | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Buckstaff | 12.7% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 13.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| David Berry | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Larsen | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 10.8% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Bordes | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ser Gin Ong | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 19.5% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Barringer | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 1.4% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.