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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+8.67vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.93+4.29vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University1.42+10.61vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands2.77+2.72vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.92+1.04vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.92+0.14vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands2.77-0.28vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.52+4.78vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine1.35+4.58vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego1.81+1.16vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy2.40-2.58vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria1.87-1.23vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University1.55-0.01vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.65-1.81vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+0.12vs Predicted
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16University of British Columbia0.22+3.68vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis0.83-0.30vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18+1.84vs Predicted
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20University of California at Berkeley1.06-4.64vs Predicted
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21University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-11.05vs Predicted
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22University of British Columbia0.28-2.96vs Predicted
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23California State University Monterey Bay0.56-4.82vs Predicted
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24University of California at Berkeley1.62-11.63vs Predicted
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25University of Oregon0.46-6.55vs Predicted
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26California State University Monterey Bay0.14-6.22vs Predicted
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27University of California at Los Angeles0.44-8.27vs Predicted
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28University of Oregon0.76-10.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.67University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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6.29University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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13.61Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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6.72California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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6.04Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.14University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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6.72California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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12.78University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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13.58University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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11.16University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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8.42California Poly Maritime Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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10.77University of Victoria1.870.0%1st Place
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12.99Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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12.19University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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15.12University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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19.68University of British Columbia0.220.0%1st Place
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16.7University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
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19.84Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.0%1st Place
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15.36University of California at Berkeley1.060.0%1st Place
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9.95University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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19.04University of British Columbia0.280.0%1st Place
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18.18California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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12.37University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
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18.45University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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19.78California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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18.73University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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17.44University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Stokes | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 10.2% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Buckstaff | 13.2% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Larsen | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Berry | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Ser Gin Ong | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 16.8% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Bordes | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Barringer | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 17.5% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.