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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+8.71vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.92+4.40vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands2.77+3.80vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.93+2.07vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University1.42+8.17vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands2.77+0.80vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.92-0.85vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+1.94vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego1.81+2.14vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+4.89vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria1.87+0.03vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine1.35+1.68vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University1.55+0.02vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.65-1.75vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California1.52-2.11vs Predicted
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16California Poly Maritime Academy2.40-7.64vs Predicted
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17University of British Columbia0.28+2.46vs Predicted
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19University of Oregon0.46-0.49vs Predicted
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20University of California at Berkeley1.62-7.61vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis0.83-4.39vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18-2.56vs Predicted
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23University of California at Berkeley1.06-7.47vs Predicted
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24University of British Columbia0.22-4.39vs Predicted
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25University of Oregon0.76-8.05vs Predicted
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26University of California at Los Angeles0.44-7.65vs Predicted
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27California State University Monterey Bay0.56-8.80vs Predicted
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28California State University Monterey Bay0.14-7.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.71University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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6.4University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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6.8California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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6.07University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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13.17Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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6.8California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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6.15Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.94University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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11.14University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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14.89University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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11.03University of Victoria1.870.1%1st Place
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13.68University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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13.02Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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12.25University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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12.89University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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8.36California Poly Maritime Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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19.46University of British Columbia0.280.0%1st Place
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18.51University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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12.39University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
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16.61University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
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19.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.0%1st Place
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15.53University of California at Berkeley1.060.0%1st Place
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19.61University of British Columbia0.220.0%1st Place
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16.95University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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18.35University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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18.2California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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20.44California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Stokes | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 11.9% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Buckstaff | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| David Berry | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Larsen | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Barringer | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Bordes | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Ser Gin Ong | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 17.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 19.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.