← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+8.73vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii2.92+4.35vs Predicted
-
3Santa Clara University1.42+10.61vs Predicted
-
4California State University Channel Islands2.77+2.75vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California2.93+1.07vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University2.92+0.10vs Predicted
-
7California Poly Maritime Academy2.40+1.29vs Predicted
-
8California State University Channel Islands2.77-1.25vs Predicted
-
9University of Victoria1.87+1.65vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Berkeley1.62+2.20vs Predicted
-
11University of Hawaii1.65+1.23vs Predicted
-
12University of Southern California1.52+0.68vs Predicted
-
13Santa Clara University1.55-0.02vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-3.97vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Los Angeles0.44+3.66vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Davis0.83+0.65vs Predicted
-
17University of California at San Diego1.81-5.54vs Predicted
-
18University of Oregon0.46+0.44vs Predicted
-
19University of British Columbia0.28+0.35vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Berkeley1.06-4.57vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-6.21vs Predicted
-
22University of California at Irvine1.35-8.08vs Predicted
-
23California State University Monterey Bay0.56-5.05vs Predicted
-
25Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18-5.21vs Predicted
-
26University of Oregon0.76-9.31vs Predicted
-
27California State University Monterey Bay0.14-6.85vs Predicted
-
28University of British Columbia0.22-7.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.73University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
-
6.35University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
-
13.61Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
-
6.75California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
-
6.07University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
-
6.1Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
-
8.29California Poly Maritime Academy2.400.1%1st Place
-
6.75California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
-
10.65University of Victoria1.870.0%1st Place
-
12.2University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
-
12.23University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
-
12.68University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
-
12.98Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
-
10.03University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
-
18.66University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
-
16.65University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
-
11.46University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
-
18.44University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
-
19.35University of British Columbia0.280.0%1st Place
-
15.43University of California at Berkeley1.060.0%1st Place
-
14.79University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
-
13.92University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
-
17.95California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
-
19.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.0%1st Place
-
16.69University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
-
20.15California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
-
20.07University of British Columbia0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Stokes | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Buckstaff | 11.9% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Larsen | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Berry | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Barringer | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Bordes | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 16.9% | 0.0% |
| Ser Gin Ong | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 17.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.