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📊 Prediction Accuracy
14.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+3.13vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon1.55+8.14vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.32+3.62vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+3.60vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands0.37+10.58vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.02+1.75vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.47-1.00vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy1.44+2.22vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University0.59+5.61vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine1.71-0.87vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis0.45+4.29vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria1.65-2.46vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.31+3.27vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands0.37+1.58vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii1.74-5.91vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley0.92-3.91vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley-0.70+2.89vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-6.00vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles0.58-5.12vs Predicted
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21University of British Columbia0.59-6.23vs Predicted
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22University of Southern California0.78-8.53vs Predicted
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23University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-5.23vs Predicted
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24University of British Columbia-0.58-3.78vs Predicted
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25Santa Clara University-0.72-4.14vs Predicted
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26California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-6.05vs Predicted
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27University of Oregon-0.51-6.88vs Predicted
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28California State University Monterey Bay-0.41-7.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
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10.14University of Oregon1.550.0%1st Place
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6.62University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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7.6University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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15.58California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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7.75Stanford University2.020.1%1st Place
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6.0University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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10.22California Poly Maritime Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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14.61Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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9.13University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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15.29University of California at Davis0.450.0%1st Place
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9.54University of Victoria1.650.0%1st Place
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16.27University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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15.58California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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9.09University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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13.09University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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20.89University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
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13.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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14.88University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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14.77University of British Columbia0.590.0%1st Place
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13.47University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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17.77University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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20.22University of British Columbia-0.580.0%1st Place
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20.86Santa Clara University-0.720.0%1st Place
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19.95California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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20.12University of Oregon-0.510.0%1st Place
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20.02California State University Monterey Bay-0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristopher Swanson | 19.8% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Moran | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Max Kohrman | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 10.3% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Jensen | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Emberley | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Reid Cannon | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 19.5% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeanne Currie | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Clara Reid | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 16.9% | 0.0% |
| Bradford Wyant | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Swartz | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Kylee Walterman | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.