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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.48+5.73vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.38+5.13vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.10+5.22vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16+0.75vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.52+1.76vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.68+3.71vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.78-1.03vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.39-0.99vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.33-2.65vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.90-2.00vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.90-3.13vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.81-3.82vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.53-1.14vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.29-7.60vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.86-6.85vs Predicted
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17Cornell University-1.85-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.73Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.13Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.22Yale University3.100.1%1st Place
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4.75St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.1%1st Place
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6.76Brown University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.71U. S. Naval Academy2.680.0%1st Place
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5.97College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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7.01Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.35Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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9.0University of Rhode Island2.900.0%1st Place
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8.87Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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9.18Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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12.86University of Michigan1.530.0%1st Place
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7.4University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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9.15University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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15.92Cornell University-1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briana Provancha | 7.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Powers | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Genoa Warner | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Sara Morgan Watters | 14.4% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Lipschitz | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sara Burke | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 0.2% |
| Shannon Heausler | 12.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Wilson | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Bethany Leonard | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 0.2% |
| Emilie Mademann | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Burke | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 7.7% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Dubois | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 49.6% | 2.4% |
| Abby Featherstone | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 0.1% |
| Isa Betancourt | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 96.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.