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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+1.17vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64+1.56vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.04-0.05vs Predicted
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4Cornell University0.93-1.12vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.50-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1338.1%1st Place
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3.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.6410.9%1st Place
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2.95University of Pennsylvania1.0418.6%1st Place
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2.88Cornell University0.9320.4%1st Place
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3.45SUNY Maritime College0.5011.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Klempen | 38.1% | 27.2% | 18.8% | 11.7% | 4.2% |
| Calvin Marsh | 10.9% | 14.5% | 17.0% | 23.1% | 34.5% |
| Ian Fox | 18.6% | 20.8% | 23.4% | 21.6% | 15.6% |
| Boris Bialer | 20.4% | 22.1% | 21.7% | 20.9% | 14.9% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 11.9% | 15.4% | 19.1% | 22.7% | 30.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.