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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1San Diego State University1.47+3.35vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+4.63vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+3.89vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-1.09+9.18vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands0.82+0.89vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.42+1.51vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-1.43+7.52vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-0.88+4.83vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.19-0.45vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-0.36+2.90vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.63-4.94vs Predicted
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12University of Washington0.18-3.75vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University0.99-7.69vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-0.96-1.48vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-0.52-3.91vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-1.01-2.67vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-1.98-0.37vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.54-3.02vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-2.21-1.57vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-1.73-4.02vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-1.92-4.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35San Diego State University1.4718.3%1st Place
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6.63University of California at Santa Cruz0.919.3%1st Place
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6.89University of California at Santa Cruz0.827.1%1st Place
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13.18Arizona State University-1.091.8%1st Place
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5.89California State University Channel Islands0.829.8%1st Place
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7.51University of California at San Diego0.427.2%1st Place
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14.52San Diego State University-1.431.0%1st Place
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12.83University of California at Irvine-0.881.8%1st Place
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8.55University of California at Davis-0.194.9%1st Place
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12.9University of California at Irvine-0.361.6%1st Place
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6.06University of California at Santa Cruz0.639.3%1st Place
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8.25University of Washington0.185.1%1st Place
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5.31Arizona State University0.9912.5%1st Place
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12.52University of California at Los Angeles-0.962.8%1st Place
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11.09Arizona State University-0.522.6%1st Place
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13.33San Diego State University-1.011.7%1st Place
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16.63California State University Channel Islands-1.980.9%1st Place
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14.98University of California at San Diego-1.540.9%1st Place
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17.43University of California at San Diego-2.210.5%1st Place
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15.98University of California at Los Angeles-1.730.7%1st Place
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16.19University of California at San Diego-1.920.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Smith | 18.3% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camden Wacha | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Sterling Maggard | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen LaGuardia | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.1% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Isaac Sharp | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jaden Unruh | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Juan Casal | 12.5% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Kistler | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Down | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| julian stauffer | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 20.3% |
| Jacob Horn | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.8% |
| Sophia Pless | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 28.6% |
| Andrew Bistras | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 14.0% |
| Diana Vins | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.