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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.67+5.85vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.92+7.96vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.79+3.55vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.79+6.62vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.50+2.47vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.71+5.08vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.86+3.26vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.90+1.95vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.71-2.03vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.12vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.48-3.06vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.29-3.40vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-4.39vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College3.00-4.05vs Predicted
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15Cornell University3.35-6.75vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.72-5.07vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.23-8.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.85Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.96Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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6.55Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.62University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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7.47Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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11.08Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.26University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Rhode Island2.900.1%1st Place
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6.97Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.12U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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7.94Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.6University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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8.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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9.95Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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8.25Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.93Tufts University2.720.0%1st Place
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8.88Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Lambert | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Haley Powell | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Amanda Johnson | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 12.7% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% |
| Bethany Leonard | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% |
| Briana Provancha | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
| Krysta Rohde | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% |
| Meghan Pesch | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.9% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.