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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+3.15vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands0.37+14.04vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon1.55+7.01vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+3.62vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.02+2.59vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis0.45+9.50vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.74+1.99vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.47-2.21vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy1.44+1.31vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii2.32-3.41vs Predicted
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11Santa Clara University0.59+3.58vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine1.71-2.65vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands0.37+3.04vs Predicted
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14University of British Columbia0.59+0.80vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-1.96vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley0.92-2.90vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-0.70+3.88vs Predicted
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19University of Southern California0.78-5.23vs Predicted
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20University of British Columbia-0.58+0.32vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles0.58-6.19vs Predicted
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22University of Victoria1.65-12.83vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego0.31-6.66vs Predicted
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24Santa Clara University-0.72-3.27vs Predicted
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25California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-4.82vs Predicted
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26University of Oregon-0.51-6.29vs Predicted
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27University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-9.32vs Predicted
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28California State University Monterey Bay-0.41-8.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
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16.04California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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10.01University of Oregon1.550.0%1st Place
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7.62University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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7.59Stanford University2.020.1%1st Place
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15.5University of California at Davis0.450.0%1st Place
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8.99University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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5.79University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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10.31California Poly Maritime Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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6.59University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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14.58Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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9.35University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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16.04California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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14.8University of British Columbia0.590.0%1st Place
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13.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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13.1University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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20.88University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
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13.77University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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20.32University of British Columbia-0.580.0%1st Place
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14.81University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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9.17University of Victoria1.650.1%1st Place
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16.34University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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20.73Santa Clara University-0.720.0%1st Place
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20.18California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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19.71University of Oregon-0.510.0%1st Place
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17.68University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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19.96California State University Monterey Bay-0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristopher Swanson | 19.3% | 16.8% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Moran | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Kohrman | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Emberley | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 12.6% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Jensen | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeanne Currie | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 2.3% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 19.5% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Clara Reid | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Reid Cannon | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Bradford Wyant | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 19.7% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Swartz | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Kylee Walterman | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.