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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+3.42vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands0.37+14.01vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+4.71vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.47+2.01vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.32+1.43vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.02+1.76vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.44+3.34vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine1.71+0.89vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis0.45+6.31vs Predicted
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10University of British Columbia0.59+4.73vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.74-2.11vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California0.78+0.97vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands0.37+2.01vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon1.55-5.09vs Predicted
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16Santa Clara University0.59-1.23vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley0.92-3.89vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley-0.70+2.87vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego0.31-2.89vs Predicted
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20University of Victoria1.65-10.65vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-8.00vs Predicted
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22University of British Columbia-0.58-2.05vs Predicted
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23University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-5.28vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles0.58-9.18vs Predicted
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25California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-4.78vs Predicted
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26University of Oregon-0.51-6.28vs Predicted
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27Santa Clara University-0.72-5.96vs Predicted
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28California State University Monterey Bay-0.41-8.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.2%1st Place
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16.01California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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7.71University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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6.01University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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6.43University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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7.76Stanford University2.020.1%1st Place
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10.34California Poly Maritime Academy1.440.1%1st Place
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8.89University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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15.31University of California at Davis0.450.0%1st Place
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14.73University of British Columbia0.590.0%1st Place
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8.89University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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13.97University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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16.01California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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9.91University of Oregon1.550.0%1st Place
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14.77Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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13.11University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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20.87University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
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16.11University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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9.35University of Victoria1.650.1%1st Place
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13.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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19.95University of British Columbia-0.580.0%1st Place
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17.72University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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14.82University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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20.22California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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19.72University of Oregon-0.510.0%1st Place
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21.04Santa Clara University-0.720.0%1st Place
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19.95California State University Monterey Bay-0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Long | 18.7% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Kohrman | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Jensen | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Emberley | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeanne Currie | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Moran | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 19.1% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Reid Cannon | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Clara Reid | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Swartz | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradford Wyant | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 19.9% | 0.0% |
| Kylee Walterman | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.