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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+3.44vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.32+4.75vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.44+7.76vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.02+3.81vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.78+8.67vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.92+7.34vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.47-0.96vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+4.91vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-1.40vs Predicted
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10Santa Clara University0.59+4.94vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine1.71-1.83vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands0.37+4.39vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.74-3.84vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis0.45+1.83vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon1.55-5.03vs Predicted
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16University of Victoria1.65-6.43vs Predicted
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17Santa Clara University0.35-0.75vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands0.37-1.61vs Predicted
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20University of British Columbia0.59-5.07vs Predicted
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21University of California at Berkeley-0.70-0.01vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego0.31-5.88vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles0.58-7.78vs Predicted
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24University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-6.17vs Predicted
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25University of Oregon-0.51-4.81vs Predicted
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26University of British Columbia-0.58-5.69vs Predicted
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27California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-6.39vs Predicted
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28California State University Monterey Bay-0.41-7.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.44University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.2%1st Place
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6.75University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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10.76California Poly Maritime Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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7.81Stanford University2.020.1%1st Place
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13.67University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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13.34University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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6.04University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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12.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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7.6University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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14.94Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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9.17University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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16.39California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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9.16University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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15.83University of California at Davis0.450.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Oregon1.550.0%1st Place
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9.57University of Victoria1.650.0%1st Place
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16.25Santa Clara University0.350.0%1st Place
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16.39California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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14.93University of British Columbia0.590.0%1st Place
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20.99University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
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16.12University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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15.22University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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17.83University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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20.19University of Oregon-0.510.0%1st Place
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20.31University of British Columbia-0.580.0%1st Place
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20.61California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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20.2California State University Monterey Bay-0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Long | 18.8% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Jensen | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Kohrman | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Emberley | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Moran | 4.5% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Cannon | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Safina | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeanne Currie | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 15.7% | 20.4% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Swartz | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 0.0% |
| Clara Reid | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 17.3% | 0.0% |
| Kylee Walterman | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.