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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.67+5.75vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.71+4.73vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.71+7.83vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.50+3.77vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.72+5.69vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.92+4.29vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.23+1.83vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.90+1.91vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.48-1.05vs Predicted
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10Cornell University3.35-1.84vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.29-2.21vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-3.52vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.79-2.23vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.88-3.63vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.86-4.71vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.79-9.46vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College3.00-7.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.75Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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6.73Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.83Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.77Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.69Tufts University2.720.0%1st Place
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10.29Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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8.83Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.91University of Rhode Island2.900.1%1st Place
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7.95Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.16Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.79University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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8.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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10.77University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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10.37U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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10.29University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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6.54Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.86Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Lambert | 11.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.3% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 12.8% |
| Claire Dennis | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Meghan Pesch | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 13.1% |
| Haley Powell | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% |
| Bethany Leonard | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% |
| Briana Provancha | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
| Lauren Turner | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Abby Featherstone | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% |
| Krysta Rohde | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% |
| Amanda Johnson | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.9% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.1% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.