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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+4.53vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.03+4.91vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University-1.18+9.39vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.24+3.72vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.39+5.59vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands-1.54+8.23vs Predicted
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7University of Washington1.07-2.92vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.34+0.17vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.00+2.65vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-1.19+2.53vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-0.80+0.18vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-0.86-0.26vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz1.45-9.96vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.53-0.27vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.81-0.15vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.46+1.24vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.85-1.99vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-1.53-5.10vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.15-6.64vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-0.87-8.40vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-1.43-7.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.53University of California at Santa Cruz0.8610.9%1st Place
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6.91University of California at San Diego0.037.4%1st Place
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12.39San Diego State University-1.181.7%1st Place
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7.72University of California at Santa Cruz0.245.3%1st Place
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10.59Arizona State University-0.393.0%1st Place
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14.23California State University Channel Islands-1.541.6%1st Place
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4.08University of Washington1.0718.1%1st Place
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8.17University of California at Los Angeles-0.345.2%1st Place
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11.65University of California at San Diego-1.001.5%1st Place
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12.53San Diego State University-1.191.9%1st Place
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11.18University of California at Irvine-0.802.4%1st Place
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11.74San Diego State University-0.861.8%1st Place
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3.04University of California at Santa Cruz1.4527.4%1st Place
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13.73University of California at San Diego-1.531.8%1st Place
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14.85California State University Channel Islands-1.811.5%1st Place
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17.24University of California at Davis-2.460.9%1st Place
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15.01University of California at Los Angeles-1.850.9%1st Place
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12.9Arizona State University-1.531.6%1st Place
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12.36Arizona State University-1.151.8%1st Place
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11.6University of California at San Diego-0.872.1%1st Place
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13.54University of California at Irvine-1.431.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Roberts | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Hunter Holguin | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Brent Lin | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.8% |
| Brianne Abbott-Rogge | 18.1% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rigel Mummers | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| JP Finnegan | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Emma Feasey | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Marley Daniel | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Buster Baylis | 27.4% | 22.8% | 17.4% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Landon McAlister | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% |
| Vaughn Russell | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 11.9% |
| Tristan Meyer | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 37.0% |
| Luke Graham | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 12.3% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Elias Ricken | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Alex Bussey | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Spencer Eldridge | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.