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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.88+3.12vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy2.22+3.80vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+1.55vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+8.20vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine1.06+3.94vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-0.76vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.44-1.71vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara3.09-4.27vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.02+0.34vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.79-0.24vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy2.56-5.91vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.30+0.84vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis0.42-2.07vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon-0.87+0.23vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-0.58-1.56vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-1.34vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-4.80vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz-0.30-5.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.2%1st Place
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5.8California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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4.55University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.1%1st Place
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12.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.94University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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5.24University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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5.29University of California at Santa Barbara2.440.1%1st Place
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3.73University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.2%1st Place
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9.34University of California at Berkeley1.020.0%1st Place
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9.76University of California at Berkeley0.790.0%1st Place
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5.09California Poly Maritime Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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12.84University of California at Davis-0.300.0%1st Place
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10.93University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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14.23University of Oregon-0.870.0%1st Place
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13.44University of California at Los Angeles-0.580.0%1st Place
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14.66University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.0%1st Place
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12.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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12.86University of California at Santa Cruz-0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Weis | 17.5% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Katz | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 13.1% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Rinker | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristram Craig | 9.8% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Stapleton | 19.9% | 18.4% | 15.7% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Saul Rosen | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hopps | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Leung | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Russell Sutter | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 20.3% | 25.5% | 0.0% |
| Max Nutkiewicz | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 0.0% |
| Erin Kelly | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 33.8% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Rinker | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Annarose Leff | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.