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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.03+4.47vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.46+2.33vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.31+1.78vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.40+3.58vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.58-1.03vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.09-0.48vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.40+6.33vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07+0.98vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.40+1.44vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine0.08-1.42vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-1.18vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara0.13-3.55vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.43-2.51vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz-1.15-1.16vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-0.66-3.88vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-1.23-3.00vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon-1.72-2.69vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.40-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.47University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
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4.33University of California at Santa Barbara1.460.2%1st Place
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4.78University of California at Santa Barbara1.310.1%1st Place
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7.58University of California at Santa Barbara0.400.1%1st Place
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3.97California Poly Maritime Academy1.580.2%1st Place
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5.52University of California at Berkeley1.090.1%1st Place
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13.33Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.400.0%1st Place
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8.98University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
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10.44University of California at Berkeley-0.400.0%1st Place
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8.58University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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9.82University of California at Los Angeles-0.230.0%1st Place
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8.45University of California at Santa Barbara0.130.0%1st Place
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10.49University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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12.84University of California at Santa Cruz-1.150.0%1st Place
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11.12University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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13.0University of California at Davis-1.230.0%1st Place
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14.31University of Oregon-1.720.0%1st Place
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13.33Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Magnussen | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Remy Margerum | 16.4% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Coumes | 13.1% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Ryder | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Gunnell | 18.5% | 19.5% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 10.6% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Susank | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 16.1% | 17.0% | 18.9% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| William Brown | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| James Heller | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Beutter | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Christensen | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alana McSween | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Ry Ulmer-Strack | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 0.0% |
| Cullen Quine | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Juan Kara | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Albertine | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 19.1% | 34.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Susank | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 16.1% | 17.0% | 18.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.